Risk-based Route Planning

From MilcordWiki

Risk-based Route Planning
Mission	Find the shortest and safest routes. Avoid known hotspots and predicted hotspots learned from patterns of past incidents.
Sponsor	[Army TEC]

Check out Demo!

Overview

Risk-based Route Planning is a Google Maps-based web application allowing the user to plan safe routes in Baghdad, Iraq by avoiding known hotspots and predicted hotspots learned from patterns of past incidents.

Need

• Iraqi roads are a dangerous place with insurgents concealing explosive devices in median, buried under road or hidden in roadside debris
• Commanders need to see the effect of adversary tactics on their plans
• Commanders need a quick assessment of mission risk for competing route options

Approach

• Learn adversary tactics, techniques and procedures
• Use models to forecast risk
• Identify known hotspots as well as predicted hotspots based on learned risk patterns
• Provide tactical intelligence application

Before - Shortest Path

After - Minimal Risk (go to route)

Benefits

• Faster adaptation to adversary tactics due to system learning
• Increased productivity in assessing the effect of adversary tactics on plans
• Reduced mission risk due to integration of doctrine and events
• More effective training of personnel before deployment

Applications

• Sense and Respond Logistics: Apply knowledge from past experience learned from historical patterns of traffic to predict trouble spots associated with scheduled events
• Location Based Services: Commercial transportation logistics and planning
• Competitive Advantages:

  • Unlike battlespace incident reporting and statistics, we learn models and patterns and predict behavior at locations with no prior incidents
  • Route Planning brings a higher level of automation to IPB process planning and implementation